I’ll put the five factors back out here (FootballStudyHall.com)
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Explosiveness, efficiency, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers are the five factors to winning football games.
- If you win the explosiveness battle (using PPP), you win 86 percent of the time.
- If you win the efficency battle (using Success Rate), you win 83 percent of the time.
- If you win the drive-finishing battle (using points per trip inside the 40), you win 75 percent of the time.
- If you win the field position battle (using average starting field position), you win 72 percent of the time.
- If you win the turnover battle (using turnover margin), you win 73 percent of the time.
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We lost the turnover battle badly-> 0-3.
We had 7 explosive plays to Colorado's 3.
We beat them on success rate by a lot.
Our defense did well taking away the big plays, but we below average at keeping them behind the chains
They won the field position battle, mostly because of turnovers.
We won scoring within the 40 battle--our defense did very well there
Us winning despite being -3 on turnovers means we had to solidly beat them in all other aspects of the game, and we did
Concept from Robert Binion (
@robert_binion). Data from GameOnPaper.com by Akshay Easwaran (
@akeaswaran) and Saiem Gilani (
@saiemgilani). Cell colors reflect the percentile of a team's performance against all single-game FBS vs FBS performances in that stat in 2024.
| Overall | GT | Colorado |
|---|
| EPA/Play | 0.23 84th %ile | 0.03 50th %ile |
| Success Rate | 57% 97th %ile | 44% 65th %ile |
| Yards/Play | 6.93 77th %ile | 5.27 33rd %ile |
| EPA/Dropback | 0.21 71st %ile | -0.05 40th %ile |
| EPA/Rush | 0.24 83rd %ile | 0.12 69th %ile |
| Yards/Dropback | 6.86 63rd %ile | 5.83 45th %ile |
| Explosive Play Rate | 10% 71st %ile | 5% 17th %ile |
| 3rd Down Success Rate | 53% 76th %ile | 36% 31st %ile |
| Red Zone Success Rate | 50% 73rd %ile | 45% 59th %ile |
| Def Run Stuff Rate | 10% 0th %ile | 9% 0th %ile |
| Havoc Rate | 5% 11th %ile | 6% 15th %il |
| Drives | GT | Colorado |
|---|
| Total | 10 | 10 |
| Avg Starting Field Position | Own 25 | Own 41 |
| Plays/Drive | 8.60 | 8.08 |
| Yards/Drive | 56.87 | 40.92 |
| Available Yards % | 76% | 70% |
| Defensive | GT | Colorado |
|---|
| Scrimmage Plays | 59 | 67 |
| Stop Rate | 32% | 24% |
| Havoc Plays Created | 3 (5%) | 4 (6%) |
| Passing | 1 (3%) | 1 (5%) |
| Rushing | 2 (7%) | 3 (7%) |
| TFLs Generated | 3 | 4 |
| Passing | 1 | 1 |
| Rushing | 2 | 3 |
| Sacks Generated | 1 (3%) | 1 (5%) |
| Passes Defensed | 0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 0 |
| Fumbles Forced | 0 | 0 |
