FSU Baseball (Poll)

Select every question which will be true after the series is over


  • Total voters
    66
  • Poll closed .

kg01

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FSU board claiming a GT kid “poured a beer onto the guy’s wife” instigating the fight. No mention of whether they were Mendez’s parents.

Without direct eye witnesses, I think it’s safe to assume fault of any humans from the state of Florida.

As the spouse of a Floridian human, I fully concur with that last statement.

Now... if yall don't hear from me in a few days, it's probably because my wife read this post ...

Send help. :oops:
 

Northeast Stinger

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FSU board claiming a GT kid “poured a beer onto the guy’s wife” instigating the fight. No mention of whether they were Mendez’s parents.

Without direct eye witnesses, I think it’s safe to assume fault of any humans from the state of Florida.

Headline: “Florida Man takes break from hand feeding alligators to dance with Yellow Jackets”
 

gtbeak

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It is all good. We are both glad that our lucky charm @CINCYMETJACKET was there to bring luck like was asked for in chat.

I think that the % of LOB of total baserunners is fairly random (i.e. low R2 if you had data to scatter chart). Last night we had a higher than usual % of LOB to total baserunners. Yes good pitching will increase the LOB. Our RISP batting average was slightly lower than overall and none of the six (!) walks in 8 innings scored a run.

Said another (probably better) way, "clutch hitting" is largely random and some nights when you don't get that "clutch hitting" you are unlucky:
View attachment 21496
Yes, at the major league level there are lengthy studies done that show that around 30% to 35% of all baserunners (hits/BB/HBP, excluding errors) should be expected to score. And there are very few pitchers who are able to deviate from that number over a period of time (1 or 2 seasons). Often when you see a pitcher have an anomalous season, you can look and see that their LOB% was quite high, and one should expect that to revert back. I've never seen a study at the college level, but I've looked myself at our numbers over the years and found that we are usually a little higher, in the 40% to 45% range. Last night we were at 25% (4 runs off of 16 baserunners) and FSU was at 33% (3 runs out of 9 baserunners), so both teams were a little low. But that should go w/o saying in a 4-3 ballgame.

BTW, on the season, in ACC play, our staff is at 33.5% (71 runs out of 212 hits/BB/HBP), so we are performing more like a normal major league staff in that regard. A little "lucky", or a sign of a staff that knows how to pitch w/ traffic better than usual?
 
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Northeast Stinger

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Agree.

Back to the game, I had to relive the 6th inning.
  • Abraham comes in and balks the runners to 2nd and 3rd. Then one scores on a wild pitch. No RBI there as no hit (clutch or otherwise) involved. Now that was lucky ;)
  • But then Brosius did the unforgivable failed bunt attempt on 2-2, that was unlucky ;)
  • And the Drew had probably his worst contact of the night for his only hit of the night, that was lucky ;)
  • That's baseball. :buzz:

View attachment 21497
Tech is psyching opponents out with our “many weapons.”
 

TampaBuzz

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As the spouse of a Floridian human, I fully concur with that last statement.

Now... if yall don't hear from me in a few days, it's probably because my wife read this post ...

Send help. :oops:
I don't know this place Floridia; and the Floridians that live there, although I am sure they are lovely people. I live in this place called Florida with bunch of people known as Floridans; many of whom are obnoxious transplanted yankees that have no sense of decorum and are always spoiling for a fight.
 

GTNavyNuke

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Yes, at the major league level there are lengthy studies done that show that around 30% to 35% of all baserunners (hits/BB/HBP, excluding errors) should be expected to score. And there are very few pitchers who are able to deviate from that number over a period of time (1 or 2 seasons). Often when you see a pitcher have an anomalous season, you can look and see that their LOB% was quite high, and one should expect that to revert back. I've never seen a study at the college level, but I've looked myself at our numbers over the years and found that we are usually a little higher, in the 35% to 40% range. Last night we were at 25% (4 runs off of 16 baserunners) and FSU was at 33% (3 runs out of 9 baserunners), so both teams were a little low. But that should go w/o saying in a 4-3 ballgame.

BTW, on the season, in ACC play, our staff is at 32.8% (62 runs out of 189 hits/BB/HBP), so we are performing more like a normal major league staff in that regard. A little "lucky", or a sign of a staff that knows how to pitch w/ traffic better than usual?

Agree, what you are saying about the comparison of MLB to college is what Gemini found too :) This refers to college studies of .51 runs per baserunner to runs in college to .39 in MLB.

I would think the % of baserunners to runs would go down with better pitching (lower ERA) and up with worse pitching (higher ERA).

1775824083919.png
 

Eli

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3,658
Most electric atmosphere I’ve ever experienced at a Tech baseball game. Let’s keep it going tonight. I think the only thing I can appreciate about FSU is I thank them for James Ramsey but their fans are by far the worst I’ve encountered in college baseball.
 

GTRambler

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Messages
1,932
Yes, at the major league level there are lengthy studies done that show that around 30% to 35% of all baserunners (hits/BB/HBP, excluding errors) should be expected to score. And there are very few pitchers who are able to deviate from that number over a period of time (1 or 2 seasons). Often when you see a pitcher have an anomalous season, you can look and see that their LOB% was quite high, and one should expect that to revert back. I've never seen a study at the college level, but I've looked myself at our numbers over the years and found that we are usually a little higher, in the 40% to 45% range. Last night we were at 25% (4 runs off of 16 baserunners) and FSU was at 33% (3 runs out of 9 baserunners), so both teams were a little low. But that should go w/o saying in a 4-3 ballgame.

BTW, on the season, in ACC play, our staff is at 33.5% (71 runs out of 212 hits/BB/HBP), so we are performing more like a normal major league staff in that regard. A little "lucky", or a sign of a staff that knows how to pitch w/ traffic better than usual?
I would say it was a little lucky.

Hope our team’s luck continues.

Lol
 

Northeast Stinger

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I don't know this place Floridia; and the Floridians that live there, although I am sure they are lovely people. I live in this place called Florida with bunch of people known as Floridans; many of whom are obnoxious transplanted yankees that have no sense of decorum and are always spoiling for a fight.
I love how a states’s bad reputation is blamed on people from other parts of the country. 🤣
 

gtrower

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On the subject of “luck” I’m guessing that’s popping up because of Burress’s blooper that played the winning run. I view this the same as our aggressive base running. We’ve very likely raised our expected run totals with our aggressive style but unfortunately the times we get thrown out are the ones that stick out and sometimes it feels like we really ****ed up in that situation. But in reality, you have a strategy that you feel will play out positively in the long run and that’s going to include some negatives along the way.

FSU plays an aggressive shift. Their fans hate it even though to very likely is a contributing factor to their low ERAs this year. But they only remember the times it hurt them. I didn’t see the whole game as I had a commitment last night, but I’m guessing we hit some ground balls into that shift. Burress has hit plenty of ground balls into a shift this year. Was he “unlucky” those times? No, the defense gained an advantage by their strategy. Was he “lucky” on this bloop single? I’d argue no, because there’s opportunity cost to not defending a third of the field.
 

kg01

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I don't know this place Floridia; and the Floridians that live there, although I am sure they are lovely people. I live in this place called Florida with bunch of people known as Floridans; many of whom are obnoxious transplanted yankees that have no sense of decorum and are always spoiling for a fight.

Per my sources, Floridia is located near Canadia. :sneaky:
 

BainbridgeJacket

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I love how a states’s bad reputation is blamed on people from other parts of the country. 🤣
General rule of thumb:

Ridiculous Florida-man story involving wildlife, the person involved is on meth, or a general response of "wtf, why?" = born in Florida

Ridiculous Florida-man story not involving wildlife, the person is on coke, or a general response of "what an a-hole" = born in NJ/NY
 

DecaturJacket

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Decatur where it's greatur
d1b did a full article on the game last night. Can't remember them dedicating a full article to a single regular season game.

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AI Summary of the article:
1775828677901.png


Some of my fav quotes:

“Unbelievable atmosphere,” Ramsey said later, in the underbelly of the stadium with the Jacket’s assorted trophies, including last year’s ACC regular season title, in a case mere feet away. “The crowd was a factor, so much appreciation for all that goes into it. You’re looking at two championship-level teams … If you’re going to do the things we want to do and play in a Super Regional type environment and face good arms like that, it’s great for your team to get battle tested.”

After a leadoff walk issued to Eli Putnam, Florida State’s Chase Williams twice attempted to get a bunt down but couldn’t. He then laced a single with two strikes. Up came John Stuetzer, who also attempted to bunt, but sent it foul. He went oppo for a RBI double on a sinker away the next pitch. Then Fisher ambushed a changeup, hammering it out to left. It was a sequence that maybe would’ve lingered with McKee earlier in his career, but he went right back to work.

“I didn’t execute great in the second inning but besides that I think I was pretty good,” McKee said. “Early on, I was using the four-seam more often than I do. Later, I was able to throw the slider early in counts and then finish with it late. The slider was my best pitch tonight, probably the best it’s been all year.”

“The play of the game for me is Kerce running a 3.9-something down the line, beats out a ball, and then goes first to third on a dirt ball,” Ramsey said, pointing out one of many players that left a notable fingerprint on the win. “Kerce, that’s just what he does. He does stuff like that in scrimmages where he’ll pump fake a ball or he’ll go this way or do something on the basepaths, like you play him and a shift and you put your head down and he’s taking the next base. For a kid like that, man, that’s just him playing his game. There’s no coaching to that, that’s just him playing the game.”

And for Burress, while the ball may have left his bat at 70 mph with a 43.6-degree launch angle — Ramsey even joked he “smashed” it after — it was the decisive blow on a night where the Jackets managed just one extra-base hit. While Burress has frequently flown under the radar this season, whether it’s due to offensive exploits from teammates or his own struggles as he finished 1-for-5 against the Noles, it was a huge moment in the game.

“The game knows,” Ramsey added. “That kid’s hit so many balls on the screws this year when you go look at all the expected statistics. He didn’t have a great night but that just tells you all about all that he does for the team. Before the game, we were talking about putting your fingerprint on this series. Everybody has a chance to do it, whether you play or you don’t play.”

They correctly reported the situation, unlike the broadcast and postgame show:
Fisher chopped a grounder back to Patel and that’s when things devolved. Patel turned to freeze Williams, who had come off third but hadn’t broken for the plate. The problem that immediately became apparent was that Stuetzer, off on the contact, was at least three-quarters of the way to third. Patel pivoted, threw a strike to Kent Schmidt at first, who caught the ball as Williams was breaking for the plate. Schmidt delivered a strike to Lackey, who tagged Williams out easily without a slide, and erupted. He leapt up and chest-bumped Patel as the rest of the team sprinted onto the field. It was a moment defined both by defensive execution and pure joy on the part of the hosts, while the defining image of the opener for Florida State was Williams, with a teammate’s arm around his shoulder, walking into the dugout.

“You gotta find a way sometimes,” he said. “That was the message in practice. When you’re facing a great arm, you have to cut down, you may have to get on the plate, you may have to choke up. You look at some guys box-adjusting or sitting on some pitches and you know, that’s the cool part, when you’re able to stay within yourself and put pressure on the defense.”

“They did everything right, we found a couple of holes. They found a couple of holes in their big inning. It’s the value of ‘Can you do everything?’ And for us, that was on display tonight.”
 

Vespidie

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d1b did a full article on the game last night. Can't remember them dedicating a full article to a single regular season game.

View attachment 21500

AI Summary of the article:
View attachment 21501

Some of my fav quotes:









They correctly reported the situation, unlike the broadcast and postgame show:
"Pitching AND defense bent at times".... Huh?
I'll go out on a limb and say that our pitching and defense decided the game last night.
 
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