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<blockquote data-quote="gtrower" data-source="post: 1173316" data-attributes="member: 375"><p>On the subject of “luck” I’m guessing that’s popping up because of Burress’s blooper that played the winning run. I view this the same as our aggressive base running. We’ve very likely raised our expected run totals with our aggressive style but unfortunately the times we get thrown out are the ones that stick out and sometimes it feels like we really ****ed up in that situation. But in reality, you have a strategy that you feel will play out positively in the long run and that’s going to include some negatives along the way. </p><p></p><p>FSU plays an aggressive shift. Their fans hate it even though to very likely is a contributing factor to their low ERAs this year. But they only remember the times it hurt them. I didn’t see the whole game as I had a commitment last night, but I’m guessing we hit some ground balls into that shift. Burress has hit plenty of ground balls into a shift this year. Was he “unlucky” those times? No, the defense gained an advantage by their strategy. Was he “lucky” on this bloop single? I’d argue no, because there’s opportunity cost to not defending a third of the field.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="gtrower, post: 1173316, member: 375"] On the subject of “luck” I’m guessing that’s popping up because of Burress’s blooper that played the winning run. I view this the same as our aggressive base running. We’ve very likely raised our expected run totals with our aggressive style but unfortunately the times we get thrown out are the ones that stick out and sometimes it feels like we really ****ed up in that situation. But in reality, you have a strategy that you feel will play out positively in the long run and that’s going to include some negatives along the way. FSU plays an aggressive shift. Their fans hate it even though to very likely is a contributing factor to their low ERAs this year. But they only remember the times it hurt them. I didn’t see the whole game as I had a commitment last night, but I’m guessing we hit some ground balls into that shift. Burress has hit plenty of ground balls into a shift this year. Was he “unlucky” those times? No, the defense gained an advantage by their strategy. Was he “lucky” on this bloop single? I’d argue no, because there’s opportunity cost to not defending a third of the field. [/QUOTE]
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